Friday, December 20, 2024

It Is the Guns, Ben


Devout Orthodox Jew (but I repeat myself) and married, conservative podcaster Ben Shapiro used the Washington Post's article "What We Know About the Wisconsin School Shooter, Natalie Rupnow"as a launching pad to promote his view of marriage and family.
 

Nonetheless, Shapiro's comments emphasized his conviction that "family is first" and that the most important function of marriage is to raise children. He comments (at 2:35 of the video)

Marriage should be the predicate to sleeping together and having children. I know these are old-fashioned ideas but they existed for a reason. And I think that what we are now experiencing in the West is a new understanding that maybe the old, those things we didn't understand so we just uprooted them, many of those things wer there for a reason. Many of those social institutions existed the way they did for a reason. Maybe, for exampe, the focus on not sleeping together until you were married , that focus- which was a focus for all of the West and indeed most of civilization for all of human history- maybe that was a smart idea because it channeled sexual passion into family building.

Shapiro is entitled to disapprove of pre-marital sex, but there is little support on the left, the right, or the center for the notion, nor should there be. Further, the historical reasons people favored marriage include the lowly social status of women, the economic benefit of two people sharing incomes, and (ironically, given Shapiro's anti-intercourse argument), the ready availability of sex. Fortunately, women are now permitted to have (sometimes lucrative) careers, and social media has become a convenient vehicle for the platonic and the not-so-platonic to hook-up.

Ironically, Shapiro's values were echoed by Associate Justice Anthony Kennedy in his majority opinion in Hodges v. Obergefell. Striking down state prohibitions on same-sex marriage, Kennedy claimed in part that "the right marry is fundamental because it supports a two-person union unlike any other in its importance to the committed individuals;" marriage "safeguards children and families and thus draws meaning from related rights of childrearing, procreation, and education;" and marriage is "a keystone of the Nation's social order."

Whatever its constitutional clarity (weak), the premise that individuals cannnot thrive without being married is clear. (The four liberal Justices could be muttering under their breath "he's an indiot but we'll take it.")

Nonetheless, the very unacceptability of Shapiro's outlook within the broader American public renders it less dangerous than his opening remark. Noting that Rupnow's father was active on Facebook,  Shapiro stated (at 1:15)

But there is one post from August that has attracted more scrutiny than others in that a photo which appears to show the suspect wielding a gun and taking aim at a firing range. So obviously, this means that the left is going to focus in on gun control as the chief issue here.

His first clue that it should be might have been the photo of a nine-year old girl firing a pistol on a firing range. The second clue could have been that (aside from the perpetrator herself, who committed suicide), the eight individuals who were killed or wounded, generally a nifty trick in the absence of a firearm. The third is a reality of which Shapiro already must have been aware. While the USA  "ranks at the 93rd percentile for overall firearm mortality," the rate of death by firearm is closer to countries experiencing "active conflict" than it is to the rate in nations not so plagued.

And ponder that among adults in the USA

One in five (21%) say they have personally been threatened with a gun, a similar share (19%) say a family member was killed by a gun (including death by suicide), and nearly as many (17%) have personally witnessed someone being shot. Smaller shares have personally shot a gun in self-defense (4%) or been injured in a shooting (4%). In total, about half (54%) of all U.S. adults say they or a family member have ever had one of these experiences.

Predictably, Ben Shapiro's concern  would "focus in on gun control as the chief issue here" is not aging well. The left continues to be fairly unconcerned with gun safety. Legislation would not disproportionately assist the LGBTQIA+ community, and though the generational African-American community is disproportionately harmed by gun violence, a large amount of it is perpetrated by individuals therein because of the debilitating impact of distressed neighborhoods. It thus may be, unfortunately, perceived as a double-edged sword.  And the right's love affair with the proliferation of firearms is unabated.

On Tuesday, Charlie Pierce wrote "Saturday was the 12th anniversary of the unfortunate exercise of Second Amendment freedoms at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut, which was going to be enough for the country to do something serious about its insance attraction to its firearms." In 359 days, it will be 359th anniversary of the exercise of Second Amendment freedoms, which still will not be enough for the country to do something serious about its noxious attraction to its firearms.



Wednesday, December 18, 2024

Not Presently



He is, he does, and he's wrong on both counts.


In some narrow sense, the USA is a Christian nation.  The PRRI survey of "The American Religious Landscape in 2020" indicates that slightly less than 70% of the public identifies with a religion that is generally considered "Christian": Protestantism, Roman Catholicism, Orthodoxy, or the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints (Mormon).

That number is well below that of several generations ago and obscures a significant shift in religious practice. In March of 2021, Gallup reported

Americans' membership in houses of worship continued to decline last year, dropping below 50% for the first time in Gallup's eight-decade trend. In 2020, 47% of Americans said they belonged to a church, synagogue or mosque, down from 50% in 2018 and 70% in 1999…..

The decline in church membership is primarily a function of the increasing number of Americans who express no religious preference. Over the past two decades, the percentage of Americans who do not identify with any religion has grown from 8% in 1998-2000 to 13% in 2008-2010 and 21% over the past three years.

On September 4, Senator Hawley spoke before the National Conservatism Conference, outlining "The Christian Nationalism We Need," focusing on family and faith.  There was emphasis on "work, home, and God," as if Christians held a monopoly on these values.

Of course, there was no talk of the underpinnings of the Chritian faith, nor a call to Americans to return to church, or to prayer, or to reading the word of God. That would have required too much persuasion by the Senator in a country which has increasingly turned away from religion- and from God, notwithstanding Hawley's embrace of the "In God We Trust" motto. Generating misconception is the Missouri senator's specialty.

It was not a religious speech nor a Christian speech but a political one in which Hawley attempted to entangle God with country, which neither honors America as a land of religious mosaic nor glorifies the Almighty. Josh Hawley calls America a "Christian nation" and advocates Christian nationalism, doing his small part ultimately to undermine both God and nation.  


Monday, December 16, 2024

Now Above the Law, He Plans to Be the Law


Julianne MCShane of Mother Jones notes

ABC News will pay $15 million to settle a defamation lawsuit that president-elect Donald Trump brought against the network, centered on incorrect comments that anchor George Stephanopoulos made about the civil lawsuit against Trump brought by writer E. Jean Carroll.....

The lawsuit focused on a March 10 interview that Stephanopoulos conducted on the network’s Sunday morning show, “This Week,” with Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.). In that interview, Stephanopoulos confronted Mace—who has said she’s a rape survivor—about her endorsement of Trump, falsely noting that “judges and two separate juries have found him liable for rape, and for defaming the victim of that rape.”

Stephanopoulos was referring to the lawsuit brought by E. Jean Carroll, who alleged that Trump raped her in 1996 in the dressing room of a New York City department store; as my colleague Russ Choma reported, while the jury found that Carroll’s attorneys did not prove the rape allegation, they did agree that Trump forcibly sexually abused and defamed her, and ruled that Trump had to pay Carroll $5 million.

While Trump has claimed he now believes a free press is “vital,” there are fears that he and his acolytes could use baseless lawsuits to go after journalists whose coverage is unfavorable to him—particularly after Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) this week blocked a federal shield bill that, if passed, would protect journalists from being forced to reveal their confidential sources.

Determining whether Trump was found responsible for "rape" is complicated. As described here, the act the civil jury in May, 2024 found Trump had committed was not "rape" under New York State law at the time but is now because of a law Governor Kathy Hochul signed in January of 2024. And even at the time, the act fit the definition under federal law. Judge Kaplan explained that the absence of a finding of rape by the jury “does not mean that she failed to prove that Mr. Trump ‘raped’ her as many people commonly understand the word ‘rape.’” He added "as the evidence at trial recounted below makes clear, the jury found that Mr. Trump in fact did exactly that.”

Further, if the individual is a public official or public figure (as is, and was, Trump), the plaintiff must prove either that the defendant knew the defamatory statement was false or "acted with reckess disregard for the truth." Having not made up the statement out of whole cloth, Stephanopoulos likely believed it was truth. ABC- or more likely, parent company Disney- caved.  

So there was ample reason for the "fears" cited by Mother Jones" MCShane. Andthere is even more now that

Donald Trump promised Monday to launch a lawsuit against the Des Moines Register over a preelection poll that found Vice President Kamala Harris had “leapfrogged” the Republican candidate, in a state he went on to handily win.

During a press conference at Mar-a-Lago, one journalist asked Trump about his ongoing defamation cases, asking, “Could you see moving that to other people with individual platforms, social media influencers, people that—”

“Or newspapers, yeah.” Trump interrupted.

“Yeah, oh I do. I think you have to do it, because they’re very dishonest,” Trump continued. “We need a great media, we need a fair media. We need, uh, it’s very important. And we need borders, we need walls, but we need borders and we need fair elections.”

Trump went on rambling on about how they were still counting votes in California, which is not true. The weave eventually wove itself back, and the president-elect continued his pledge to sue newspapers over alleged defamation.

“I have a few others that I’m doing, uh I’m gonna, as an example, we’re bringing—I’m doing this not because I want to, I’m doing this because I have an obligation to—I’m gonna be bringing one against the people in Iowa, their newspaper, which had a very, very good pollster, who got me right all the time. And then just before the election, she said I was gonna lose by three or four points, and it became the biggest story all over the world … because I was gonna win Iowa by 20 points. The farmers love me, and I love the farmers,” he said.

Trump was speaking about pollster Ann Selzer, whose Iowa poll anticipated that Harris would lead Trump by three points in the state. In reality, he won Iowa by 13 points, making for a 16-point error. Selzer & Co. had previously been considered the gold standard of polling in the country.

Legally, the President-elect has little or no case. Of course, with Trump, the term "legally" is the inoperative word. The U.S. Supreme Court, in Trump v. United States, discovered a new and novel constitutional right for one individual among hundreds of millions of American citizens. Henceforth, an ex-President would have complete criminal liability for "official acts" or anything heor she might do using the pw=owers of the office. Henceforth, a President can do anything, declare it an "official act," and get a free get out of jail card- or "cannot be prosecuted" card. Sweet.

Three days after the election, Conor Friedersdorf of The Atlantic (behind paywall) wrote "I hope that Trump willl normalize himself, too" by "what he says and does," a President "who reassures the nation that he will adhere to the law, the Constitution, and basic human decency."

Donald Trump is not President yet, and that ship already has sailed. Nor will it end with the Des Moines Register and ABC News. 

President Trump will not have to suppress and oppress his enemies. He will issue more threats- some empty, some not- before he can bring the media to heel. Intimidation will be a prime elemnt of his governing strategy and his ambitions are not modest. So as for this tweeter's assessment of Trump as a "fascist clown": yes and no, respectively.



Saturday, December 14, 2024

Wrong and Strong, Seemingly


Steve M in his No MoreN Mr. Nice Blog makes a very good point.

Remember the end of Donald Trump's 2024 campaign? The town hall that concluded with Trump dancing onstage for a half-hour? The anecdote about Arnold Palmer's penis? The Madison Square Garden rally -- in a state Trump had no chance of winning -- that turned into a racist, profane grievance-fest? The fry cook and garbageman cosplay?

We thought the wheels were coming off the bus. We thought the public would recognize Trump's obvious unfitness to serve. Instead, he won the election, won the popular vote for the first time, and received more votes and a greater percentage of the popular vote than he had in his first two elections.

So am I saying that the 2024 Trump campaign wasn't a shambolic mess? No. In many ways, it was a shambolic mess. But it appears to have been a shambolic mess in such an aggressive, in-your-face way that millions of voters responded positively to the preposterousness of it all. They liked Trump's arthritic dance moves and granddad music playlist. They decided, somehow, that the unapologetic way Trump would say any WTF thing he felt like saying meant he was just the crazy bastard America needed to take on the bad guys.....

It seems to me that voters don't care what Trump is doing -- they just like the fact that he's doing whatever he's doing vigorously and forcefully. Once again, it appears that a famous 2002 Bill Clinton remark was correct:

"When people are feeling insecure, they'd rather have someone who is strong and wrong rather than somebody who is weak and right"...

Trump is proving that there's apparently no limit to how wrong you can be and still get the benefit of seeming strong.

That is the only way- or at least the best way- to make sense of Trump bragging about this, and getting away with it.

 

In the video, Trump comes off as a strong, first-class dealmaker, as he typically- successfully- tries to do. Though not the paragon of objectivity, Climate Power- in what has never been refuted- two months ago explained 

In April  2020, Donald Trump cut a deal with Vladimir Putin, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and OPEC to intentionally increase oil prices and bail out his biggest oil donors after a price war between Russia and the Saudis sent oil prices plunging.

Trump cut the deal after his biggest fossil fuel backers lost billions from their net worth in just weeks, including Trump’s most crucial oil donor, Harold Hamm, who convinced Trump to bail the oil industry out after he lost $3 billion in days. 

Hamm leveraged his years of support for Trump, convincing him to host a whole roomful of oil executives at the White House to hash out the deal. Attendees included Kelcy Warren, Jeff Hildebrand, Vicki Hollub, and, of course, Harold Hamm. 

If any of those names sound familiar, that’s because they all responded to Trump’s April request for $1 billion by cohosting multiple fundraisers for him over the past six months. That includes the CEO who told Trump that she was upset at the FTC for requesting her cell phone record while they were reportedly investigating her over allegations of potential collusion with OPEC to raise gas prices....

 A USA Today editorial asked, “Amid coronavirus pandemic, why is Donald Trump trying to push up fuel prices?”… The editorial board wrote that  “the most unambiguous winners of higher prices are countries like Russia and Saudi Arabia, not the United States, which is still a net importer. What’s more, his move attempts to help oil companies by imposing higher costs on U.S. consumers, workers and fuel-reliant businesses.”

Trump boasted "said we got to get it up a little. I called Russia and the King of Saudi Arabia. We had a three-way call and we cult back on the oilbecause it was so incredible- helped fill up the Strategic national reserve" (i.e., Strategic Petroleum Reserve).  

There was little or no downside for the President because he declared victory as Democrats chose not to highlight the issue. It was a twofer for Trump- pleasing both his energy donors and boosting the economy of one of his favorite countries, Russia. Six months later, Saudi Arabia threw $2 billion dollars to son-in-law Jared Kushne, thereby consummating what Trump might satisfyingly call a "three-way."




Thursday, December 12, 2024

Not Enlightening


Smug meets smug. Audie Cornish and Scott Jennings are both wrong.

As best as I can make out, the exchange went as follows:

Audie Cornish (to Jennings): You go after people all the time for a variety of things.

Scott Jennings (to Cornish); You keep referring to Neely as the victime. I think Penny is the victim in this case and I think people on that tain thing he's the victim.

A.C.: I call the people who die a victim. But we have different ideas bout that. Um, but to my mind someone who lost a child and I'm always going to feel for that person. That' just how I'm built. It's a Christian thing. But the reason I'm asking is-

S.J.: Are you saying that I'm not a Christian?

A.C. I'm not at all. I just want to make sure you uderstand it's a value-based comment, not a political one.

S.J. Are you saying I don't have any values about.... (not easily understood)?

(Someone off-camera): She's not saying that.


Of course, Cornish, of whom I'm a fan, was saying that. Or she was saying that Jennings is not a Christian. And it's more a human thing than a "christian" thing to sympathize with someone who lost a child.

Still, Cornish understood that Neely was the individual who was the object of an alleged crime. (His death may have been the first clue.)  If there were any doubt that Daniel Penny killed Jordan Neely, Penny would not have been charged. Perhaps Jennings meant that the ex-Marine was the victim because he was prosecuted- but he did not say that.

But more interesiting is Cornish's suggestion that the only legitimate Christian perspective is empathizing with Neely rather than Penny. This seemingly contrasts with the sentiment of a minister from St. Joseph, Missouri quoted by author and journalist Tim Alberta in The Kingdom, The Power, And The Glory (emphasis Alberta's). Of wrapping oneself in the politics of being Christian

There's this fale assumption of action we're called to take. The task of the Church is simply to be the Church. All of this high-blown rhetoric abouit changing the world- we don't need to change the world. We're not called to change the world. We're called to be the world already changed by Christ. That's how we're salt; that's how we're light.

I talk about Jesus in the context of His kingdom. The idea that Jesus is some mascot for the donkeys or the elephants- it's a catastrophe for the gospel.

For the Church, and for helpful political dialogue, which this was not.



Tuesday, December 10, 2024

Tulsi Gabbard's Identity



Last month, Nikki Haley noted Gabbard had gone "to Syria in 2017 for a photo-op with Bashar al-Assad while he was massacring his own people. She said she was skeptical that he was behind the chemical weapons attack. Now, this to me is disgusting."

Haley's political star has plummeted and Assad has fled Syria for Russia but Gabbard may be on her way to being Director of National Intelligence. But aside from the major issues- Syria and Russia swirling around her, Gabbard is a flaming hypocrite.

Tulsi Gabbard was born in American Samoa and raised in Hawaii. She is a Hindu who married a Hindu, Abraham Williams, in Oahu in 2015 in what she dexribed as a "Hawaiian-style Hindu wedding" with Vedic customs. However, the Democrat turned Independent turned Republican in May stated

Many of those who are in great positions of poer in the Democratic Party, whether they admit it or not, or realize it or not, they see themselves as God. They appoint themselves as the authority. They view themselves as the ones who get to decide how we live our lives, what we're allowed to say, who we're allowed to hear from (and) how we get our information.

When Gabbard says "God," it is not clear to what or whom she is referring because

The majority of Hindus believe in one supreme God ((The Brahman). Everything is a part of and a manifestation of Brahman, the ultimate reality; however, Brahman's qualities and powers may be represented by a great diversity of gods/deities, all of which emanate from The Brahman. The concept of Brahman and the relationship of the Supreme Being with nature, indvidual souls, and TheBrahman's various manifestations are the subject of many different Hindu schools of philosophy/belief. 

The unvierse, Earth, and all creatures were created by Brahma, one of the many gds that emanated from The Brahman.

Thus, there is a monotheistic aspect of Hinduism.  Nonetheless, it is not considered among the three major monotheistic religions, Christianity, Judaism, and Islam, and for good reason.

Tulsi Gabbard is is no position legitimately to lecture Democrats, the overwhelming majority of whom identify as Christians, Jews, or Muslims. Christianity, Judaism, and Islam are monotheistic. Yet, Gabbard, who belongs- and identifies with- a religion which seemingly recognizes a few gods, claims Democrats see themselves as "God."

Nor does Gabbard herself appear to believe in God. Below is a video in which she and her husband are singing along to John Lennon's Imagine. The lyrics begin

Imagine there's no heaven. It's eay if you try. No hell below us. Above us, only sky....

Imagine there's no countries. It isn'thard to do. Nothing to kill or die for. And no religion, too.

"Imagine there's no heaven (and) no hell below us, "and no religion, too."  Fortunately, there is no religious test for public office in the USA. and there are more important reasons to reject Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence. But it may be one more indication that the nominee, who has ducked questiosns about her relationship with Bashar Assad and is Russia-friendly, is not exactly whom she appears to be.


Sunday, December 08, 2024

The Once, Still, and Future President


Shortly before the tweet below, NBC News noted

Foreign leaders have lined up to speak with him. He has rattled Mexico and Canada with threats of steep tariffs and warned there would be “hell to pay” for militants in Gaza unless they release the hostages by the time he’s sworn in.

That won't happen for another 45 days, but Donald Trump, the president-in-waiting, isn't shying away from acting like the president-in-reality.

Trump can't sign a bill or issue an executive order yet, but he is crowding out Joe Biden as the sitting president winds down his term and steadily recedes from public view. In two foreign trips since the election, Biden has answered all of two questions from reporters.

He has been left to kibitz about Trump’s pronouncements — “I hope he rethinks it,” he said of Trump’s plan to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico — rather than drive an agenda of his own.


Throughout the campaign this summer and fall, Republicans routinely referred to their candidate as "President Trump" or "the President."  Many broadcast "journalists" did so also and only on rare occassions would the news host \offer the correction of "ex-President" or "former President."

If there was one essential prenuse if Trump's candidacy, it was that he has been "President Trump" all along. AP reported in March

Republican Donald Trump has launched his general election campaign not merely rewriting the history of the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol attack, but positioning the violent siege and its failed attempt to overturn the 2020 election as a cornerstone of his bid to return to the White House.

At a weekend rally in Ohio, his first as the presumed Republican Party presidential nominee, Trump stood onstage, his hand raised in salute to the brim of his red MAGA hat, as a recorded chorus of prisoners in jail for their roles in the Jan. 6 attack sang the national anthem.

An announcer asked the crowd to please rise “for the horribly and unfairly treated January 6th hostages.” And people did, and sang along.

“They were unbelievable patriots,” Trump said as the recording ended.

Having previously vowed to pardon the rioters, he promised to help them “the first day we get into office.”

In September, Trump admitted that he had lost the 2020 election "by a whisker." That was six months after falsely claiming "eighty-two percent of the country understands that it was a rigged election" and three months after whining that Biden "only attained the position of president by lies, fake news, and not leaving his basement."

It's who he is- or rather, whom he pretends he is. He always has to be the Big Man on Campus and wants to portray himself as having always been President. He's still the guy who brushed aside the prime minister of Montenegro at a NATO summit in Brussels in May, 2017. He always has to be the Big Man on Campus, who became the President, was cheated out of a second term, and will be President indefinitely.


        




Thursday, December 05, 2024

Fine Supplicants


It's actually worse than this.



In a classic example of platforming a demagogue and totalitarian whom pre-election they had labeled a "fascist," Joe Scarborough on Thursday morning

defended a meeting that he and Brzezinski had earlier this month with Trump. Their revelation of the off-the-record visit to Mar-A-Lago drew a backlash, as they had previously warned of Trump’s authoritarianism and even compared him to a fascist.

He acknowledged that people were upset and that “maybe we should have given them more of a warning,” but “the main complaint was that we called Donald Trump’s rhetoric fascist during the campaign, and then we went down to have an off the record comment with him.” Brzezinski noted that other news outlets like The New York Times, The Washington Post and even The Atlantic have done the same. 

When on November 18 the two revealed they had a chat with the President-elect

Scarborough said, “we didn’t see eye-to-eye on a lot of issues, and we told him so.” But “what we did agree on was to restart communications,” Brzezinski said, suggesting that their behavior should be a model for others..

Brzezinski said Trump was cheerful, upbeat and “seemed interested in finding common ground with Democrats on some of the most divisive issues.” She did not specify which ones.

In her explanation of the meeting, Brzezinski pointed to Trump’s election victory and said “Joe and I realized it’s time to do something different, and that starts with not only talking about Donald Trump, but talking with him.”.

Three+ weeks later

On Wednesday, during a segment on former Fox News host Pete Hegseth’s teetering nomination as Trump’s next secretary of defense, (Atlantic writer David) Frum quipped, “If you’re too drunk for Fox News, you’re very, very drunk indeed.” That was in response to an NBC News report that colleagues on Fox & Friends Weekend had concerns over Hegseth’s drinking.

With stick stuck squarely up her rear end

Brzezinski followed up the segment by telling viewers that Frum’s comment was “a little too flippant” and that “we have differences in coverage with Fox News, and that’s a good debate that we should have often, but right now I just want to say there’s a lot of good people who work at Fox News who care about Pete Hegseth, and we will want to leave it at that.

Frum responded

This morning, I had an unsettling experience.

I was invited onto MSNBC’s Morning Joe to talk from a studio in Washington, D.C., about an article I’d written on Trump’s approach to foreign policy. Before getting to the article, I was asked about the nomination of Pete Hegseth as secretary of defense—specifically about an NBC News report that his heavy drinking worried colleagues at Fox News and at the veterans organizations he’d headed. (A spokesman for the Trump transition told NBC, “These disgusting allegations are completely unfounded and false, and anyone peddling these defamatory lies to score political cheap shots is sickening.” )

I answered by reminding viewers of some history:

In 1989, President George H. W. Bush nominated John Tower, senator from Texas, for secretary of defense. Tower was a very considerable person, a real defense intellectual, someone who deeply understood defense, unlike the current nominee. It emerged that Tower had a drinking problem, and when he was drinking too much he would make himself a nuisance or worse to women around him. And for that reason, his nomination collapsed in 1989. You don’t want to think that our moral standards have declined so much that you can say: Let’s take all the drinking, all the sex-pesting, subtract any knowledge of defense, subtract any leadership, and there is your next secretary of defense for the 21st century.

I told this story in pungent terms. It’s cable TV, after all. And I introduced the discussion with a joke: “If you’re too drunk for Fox News, you’re very, very drunk indeed.”

At the next ad break, a producer spoke into my ear. He objected to my comments about Fox and warned me not to repeat them. I said something noncommittal and got another round of warning. After the break, I was asked a follow-up question on a different topic, about President Joe Biden’s pardon of his son. I did not revert to the earlier discussion, not because I had been warned, but because I had said my piece. I was then told that I was excused from the studio chair. Shortly afterward, co-host Mika Brzezinski read an apology for my remarks.

A little bit earlier in this block there was a comment made about Fox News, in our coverage about Pete Hegseth and the growing number of allegations about his behavior over the years and possible addiction to alcohol or issues with alcohol. The comment was a little too flippant for this moment that we’re in. We just want to make that comment as well. We want to make that clear. We have differences in coverage with Fox News, and that’s a good debate that we should have often, but right now I just want to say there’s a lot of good people who work at Fox News who care about Pete Hegseth, and we will want to leave it at that.

After the Wednesday incident and the responses to it, two additional things have become known while one thing remains unknown, despite speculation.

David Frum has never understood that the modern Republican Party, which he abhors, did not come out of thin air and had its antecedents at least as far back as the Reagan presidency. However, he obviously has a great deal of integrity, as his Hedgeseth remark, his willingness to move past it, and his written explanation evince.

We still cannot be confident of the reason for the visit by the Scarboroughs to Mar-a-Lago. It has seemed to me and to most observers that they were caving to Trump because they fear being among those who will be prosecuted and persecuted after January 20 for exercising their First Amendment rights. However, on Wednesday, Joe stated "Let me tell you something: You can talk to anybody that’s worked in the front office of NBC and MSNBC over the past 22 years, [they] will tell you I am not fearful. You talk to anybody who has served with me in Congress, they will tell you — not fearful of leadership.”

Times change, circumstances change, and people change and perhaps Joe and Mika- whatever Joe's past- are now scaredy cats, and justifiably so. Alternatively, they've read the tea leaves. Donald Trump is returning to the presidency, MSNBC is up for sale, and they may need an alternative in journalism or even a different career. 

Currying favor with such a man, access journalism run amok, would be worse than merely acting out of fear. Interviewing Donald Trump on the latter's own turf, doing so without video, and choosing not to report the details of the chat are very bad indeed, made even worse when Brzezinski did Trump's bidding by claiming he was "cheerful, upbeat" and was "interested in finding common ground." Ms. Brzezinski is a fine stenographer but leaves unclear whether the President-elect played them or they're trying to play their viewers.

Yet, if their motive is not completely certain, the content of their character is. It's bad enough to suck up to Donald J. Trump. However, they exacerbated the situation when a flunky (with or without their direction) tells Frum not to repeat the comment. As requested, Frum avoids the subject, then is kicked out. 

This is despicable behavior by the hosts and is making MSNBC look even worse than it has. And these days, that's difficult to do.



Tuesday, December 03, 2024

Far-Fetched Dream


The announcement on Sunday of the decision of President Joe Biden to pardon son Hunter Biden was met with swift criticism.

Several members of Congress were upset.

Senators Peter Welch of Vermont labeled it "unwise" and Gary Peters of Michigan termed it "wrong."  Representatives Gerry Connolly of Virginia admonished the President while,Jason Crow of Colorado said it was "a mistake," and Greg Stanton of Ohio remarked "... but I think he got this one wrong." Representative Greg Landsman of Arizon tweeted ".... but as someone who wants people to believe in public service again, it's a setback." Ro Khanna of California slammed it as a manifestation of "the archaic pardon power."

With, presumably, a straight face, centrist Marie Gluesenkamp of Washington State posted "no family should be above the law." (How is that two billion dollars Jared Kushner pocketed from the butchers of Riyadh figure in with that, Congresswoman?)

Michael Bennet of of Colorado contended the pardon puts "personal interest ahead of duty and further erodes Americans' faith that the justice system is fair and equal for all."

And these were Democrats. 

(Bennet's concern that Americans trust the justice system to be "fair and equal for all" is particularly amusing. In the summer of 2020, Bennet was a full-throated supporter of the black lives matter movement, which strenuously argued that treatment of blacks by the police and criminal justice system is, well, unfair and unequal compared to the treatment other people receive. Presumably, after the end of those protesst, Bennet decided, until Sunday, that the justice system actually is fair and equal for all.)

President Biden's action was condemned, as inevitable, by several Republicans. And the Hunter and Joe episode presents an opportunity for action in which Democrats concerned with gun safety and Republicans horrified by street crime can join together in an effective bipartisan manner.

Hunter Biden was convicted in June of three federal gun charges stemming from lying on an application for a gun license.  As noted here, he lied on a federal screening form about his drug use, lied to a gun dealer, and possessed a firearm despite restrictions for people addicted to drugs. In September, he pled guilty to three felonies and six misdemeanors for failing to pay $1.4 million in federalt axes from 2016 to 2019. He already had paid the money back, plus penalties bit was to be sentenced on both cases in a few weeks.

Question 11e on Form 4473, the Firearms Transaction Record of the Justice Department's Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firears reads

Are you an unlawful user of, or addicted to, marijuana or any depressant, stimulant, narcotic drug, or any other controlled substance? Warning: The use or possession of marijuana remains unlawful under Federal law regardless of whether it has been legalized or decriminalized for medicinal or recreational purposes in the state where you reside.

As with virtually every other user or abuser of an illegal drug, Mr. Biden marked the "no" rather than the "yes" box.  (Presumably, anyone checking "yes" would be denied a firearms license on the grounds of stupidity.)  Drug addicts, and even users not addicted, are not partial to ratting themselves out to law enforcement authorities and have little incentive to be truthful because

The odds of being charged for lying on the form are virtually nonexistent. In the 2019 fiscal year, when Hunter Biden purchased his gun, federal prosecutors received 478 referrals for lying on Form 4473 — and filed just 298 cases. The numbers were roughly similar for fiscal 2020. At issue is when Biden answered “no” on the question that asks about unlawful drug use and addiction when purchasing a gun. Biden had been discharged five years earlier from the Navy Reserve for drug use and based on his 2021 memoir, he was actively using crack cocaine in the year he bought the gun. The data do not show how many people might have been prosecuted for falsely answering the question about active drug use. A 1990 Justice Department study noted how difficult it was to bring cases against people who falsely answer questions on the form, especially because there is no paper trail for drug abusers like there is for felons.

As Dan Abrams objectively explains in the transaction beginning at 10:38:


 


Nonetheless, lying on a form to obtain a firearm is a serious offense- or should be treated as such. Democrats could (would) call the GOP's bluff by proposing to congressional Republicans that prosecution be mandatory for lying on the ATF application for a gun license.  Democrats are serious about gun safety laws (when race is not a direct or indirect factor) and Republicans are troubled about Hunter Biden and (during an election campaign) crime. Democrats might even suggest that lying on the drug use question (11e) prompt mandatory jail/prison time.

It's great occasion for that kind of approach, not only because of Hunter Biden. James Carville, James Clyburn, and others have slammed fellow Democrats for allegedly supporting "defund the police."  Condemning the elder Biden, ihe leading Republican on Capitol Hill, House Speaker Mike Johnson, arged "real reform cannot begin soon enough."

So real reform might begin with an effort to keep firearms out of the hands of irresponsible or dangerous individuals. Just kidding! Johnson has no interest in gun safety, whatever it is he meant by "reform."  Democrats are adjusting to the reality of being steamrolled next year by the Party of Trump, and the mass incarceration (especially of blacks) encouraged by President Clinton's 1994 anti-crime legislation has made them gunshy about mandatory prosecution, let alone imprisonment. And so this Biden tempest in a teapot will go on or with any luck, will not.



Sunday, December 01, 2024

The "No One Above the Law" That Never Was



There are many things which will determine President Biden's legacy, including probably being the last President of our democratic republic (representative democracy, if you wish). This is the least of them:

The distance between Democrats and Republicans on the rule of law now has shrunk by almost one millimeter.The distance remains as vast as the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, together. Nonetheless, as this is typed, the tweeter's notion is a popular one on Twitter. A political strategist and editor of The Bulwark a conservative, anti-Trump organ, takes the same position.when she tweets (quote marks hers)

“Pardoning Hunter, who has pleaded guilty, would persuade those who still believe in impartial justice that it’s all a pretense—that Democrats mouth the words about nobody being above the law but when it comes down to it, they don’t believe it and they don’t act on it.”

Longwell has been listening too much to the lawyers, many of them former federal prosecutors, on cable news who have assurred us for several years that "no one is above the law." On this, at least, most Americans have been well ahead of the legal geniuses who either believe this or have been blowing smoke up our posterior.

Left, right, or center, people without a law degree- without a stake in vouching for the credibility of the legal system- have recognized that some people are above the law. At the least, this always has applied to the wealthy. And then five months ago- that would be five months before President Joe Biden pardoned his son Hunter- the Supreme Court told us so when in Trump v. United States it ruled

that former President Trump is at least presumptively immune from criminal liability for his official acts, and is absolutely immune for some “core” of them — including his attempts to use the Justice Department to obstruct the results of the election. With respect to Trump’s other actions, the court left to the lower courts much of the work required to determine which are immune and which are not. At bottom, though, the court’s 6-3 majority freed presidents to use their official powers to engage in criminal acts substantially free of accountability.

Six days ago, exasperated by the request by Special Prosecutor Jack Smith for Judge Chutkan to dismiss (without prejudice) the January 6 case against Donald Trump, Charlie Pierce wrote in part

Of course, Smith’s case against the two Mar-a-Lago orcs who did (literally) the heavy lifting in the Pool Shed Papers Case will go forward because, as we know, No Scrub Is Above the Law. Comin’ soon to the ID Network: Walt Nauta: Threat of Menace? This is nothing short of pathetic. In fact, it’s well past pathetic.

Oh, just shut up and go away, will you? Tell me no more lies about the rule of law and about how no man is above it....  Let the chroniclers write that the only people who did not lie to us about all that star-spangled folderol were local prosecutors in Manhattan and Atlanta, and a New York jury. In the name of God, go, all of you. Leave us to learn how to live under the crumb-scattering oligarchy that you have done so much to spawn. That will be the order of the American idea probably for the rest of my lifetime, and the only thing we can hope for is that it won’t always be run by a vengeful, lunatic crook. That seems to be the consensus of my fellow citizens, as expressed by the recent election results. The one thing that Trump voters and nonvoters alike have in common is that participatory democracy is just too...damn...hard. Here we are now, entertain us.

That rant applies also to the hand-wringing over the HB pardon. The idea that "no one is above the law" had been in hospice care for a very long time. Donald Trump put it onto life support and the United States Supreme Court killed it on July 1, 2024. President Joe Biden's decision about a family member will not change that.


             .



Friday, November 29, 2024

Podcaster's Populist Prescription



James Carville has spent the better part of the last few weeks arguing "woke" was responsible for the resounding defeat of the Democratic Party in this election cycle. In one instance

Carville said what "killed" the Democrats in these elections was a "sense of dishonor" among the electorate, part of which, he said, "was the unfortunate events of what I would refer to as the woke era."

"We got beyond it," he said. "But the image stuck in people's minds that the Democrats wanted to defund the police, wanted to empty prisons...it created a sense of dishonor."

In another, in which Carville delivered a similar message, the veteran party strategist denounced Jon Stewart's take on the election. In turn, Kyle Kulinski noted

So in other words- in other words- Kamlala and other Democrats ran the platonic ideal of the non-woke Democrat campaign. But yet, they're still saying that wokeness is the problem. It's not- kamala, as I pointed out a thousand times- Kamala nevr mentioned race, Kamala never mentioned gender, Kamala never mentined LatinX or trans people or political correctness or cancel culture. She didn't mention any of that. She ran on freedom, she ran on patriotism, she repeatedly stressed that she'd represent all Americans. She ran right-wing on the border. So in ther words, the Democrats do exacctly what people like James Carville wanted them to do and then he's like "well, you should have somehow done it more like I wanted you to do it even though you did it exactly like I wanted you to do it."



Kulinski emphasizes that Kamala Harris ran it their way. As with most other Democrats, she did not run a Frank Sinatra "I did it my way" campaign. She ran as the ex-prosecutor who would blow away anyone who broke into her home and would "focus... on porotecting women and children from violent crime." . As "the president for all Americans, she would usher in an "opportunity society" available to Democrats, Republicans, independents, and everyone who admires the post-partisan patriotism of a Liz Cheney

The sitting vice president didn't run a "woke" campaign, nor did more than one or two Democrats outside of a very fewin  extremely safe congressional districts. (Think a Rashid Tlaib-like district.).  Regrettably- and unfortunately, understandably- neither Kulinski nor Carville acknowledges that the Vice President did not need to run a "woke" campaign.

Harris became the vice presidential nominee, thereafter vice president-elect, in 2020 because she is a black woman. In 2024 she was elevated suddenly and swiftly, though with concern from Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi, and a few other leaders- to the top of the ticket.  She is a black woman who, deservedly or otherwise, became the party's nominee without any potential candidate opposing her. She was the embodiment of the possibility of overcoming racial and sexual (or gender, if you prefer) obstacles to achieve a position and status few others, and no black women, have.

She didn't have to go "woke" and didn't, and neither did virtually any other Democrat who lost. Kulinski understands the theme a Democratic presidential candidate (and ones down-ballot) could have struck when he explains

So in other words, you need to counter the immigrants and trans people are the problem with "no, it's the financial elites, it's Wall Street, it's the billionaires. They're the problem. They've bought the government, they've rigged the government. That's why it doesn't represent you anymore. That's why we don't have a higher minimum wage. That's why we don't have the PRO Act. That's why we don't have higher taxes on the wealthy. That's why we don't have universal health care." That's the argument.

Voters are justifiably disgruntled and believe the deck is stacked against them, rigged in favor of some groups at their expense. The key for Democrats is to give voters an alternative narrative without undermining their own support among the groups essential to the Democratic coalition. They include ; the black community; the LGBTQIA community, the de jure boogeyman of conservatives; and legal immigrants, whom many people believe are taking jobs others should have, benefits they don't deserve, or are diluting their own vote. Or all of that.

The Democratic Party is identified in the public mind with these groups. Yet, without their support, the Party is dead in the water. Democrats must identify with widespread dissatisfaction with the status quo across ethnic, sexual, economic, and geographic lines. Otherwise, voters will continue to respond to  Republicans who want them to punch down at ethnic minorities, the poor, or even other middle-class which many are wont to do.  If Democrats can focus on those financial elite-, on Wall Street, in Silicon Valley, and elsewhere- they'll be on the right track while on the left track. 



Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Progressive? Not the Campaign


I hate to agree with a journalist so anti-Israel that on Twitter he occasionally veers into anti-Semitism. However, Mehdi Hasan has heard enough of an emerging narrative and has no more- well, you know- to give. He remarks

Donald Trump winning the election was bad enough. But Democrats and much of our "liberal media" are now trying to blame their defeat on "the left, on prossives, on wokeness is just doing my head in. "Harris defeat is a stining defeatt for the left" was the hadline in the Post. "When will the Democrats learn to say no?" was the headline in the Times. A former Hillary Clinton advisor popped up on CNN to say the Democratic Party is being held hostage by the "far left." That's the new narrative- progressives lost Democrats the White House; Kamala Harris' losing campaign was a left-wing campaign. Are you fucking kidding me? This is gaslighting of Trumpian proportions. There was nothing left-wing about Harris.

Actually, there was one thing left-wing about Harris, who maintained amidst shifting positions that her principles had not changed.. It was her and most resoundingly not her campaign. Hasan continues

I mean, the centrists literally got the presidential candidate they wanted- a tough on crime prosecutor who bragged about owning a gun and spoke about her love for a "lethal" military. A candidate who famously told migrants "don't come" to this country and during the one and only presidential debate, attacked Trump for not backing a biparisan and very draconian border security bill. The idea that progressives got the campaign they wanted and then lost and so the left is now discredited is so ridiculous, so dtached from reality, so demonstrably and obviously false that Ican't believe I'm even having to sit here and rebut it.

The Democratic nominee ran commercials touting her experience as a prosecutor.

 



In the debate with her opponent, she boasted

So I'm the only person on this stage who has prosecuted transnational criminal organizations for the trafficking of guns, drugs, and human beings. And let me say that the United States Congress, including some of the most conservative members of the United States Senate, came up with a border security bill which I supported (but) Donald Trump got on the phone, called up some folks in Congress, and said kill the bill.

And in her closing statement, Harris stated that she was committed to "sustaining America's standing in the world and ensuring we have the respect that we so rightly deserve, including respecting our military and ensuring we have the most lethal fighting force in the world." 

Hasan continued with

"It was the wokeness and it was the cultural stuff." No. Harris barely sid anything about transgender rights. She didn't utter the term "Latinx" during the campaign, either, nor did she ever mention the words" defund the police." Stop lying. And oh, by the way, the year when people were talking about defunding the police was 2020, not 2024, and Democrats won in 2020, just saying.

Even in 2020, very few Democratic officials or politicians uttered the phrase "defund the police," though in the years following, many Democrats (most notably James Carville) would use the term to denounce unnamed Democrats who allegedly had advocated it. Further, criticism of police by the left- and by the center, which joined in- focused on harsher treatment by police of blacks than of whites. And I would bet that at the time- before the pro-police backlash against the left, very few of these currently disparaging "defund the police" progressives even questioned the prevailing narrative that blacks were getting a raw deal.

But times have changed and it's now open season on the progressives whom others, who at the time were on board, claim were all in "defund the police." Finger in the air, anyone?

The "cultural stuff," writ large, did play a role in the outcome of the campaign. However, it is impossible to determine to what extent it mattered, especially because that door swings both ways. Moreover, it was intrinsic to handing the nomination to Kamala Harris, who had the upper hand in getting the party's nod because she had been vice president but faced zero public opposition because had she been elected, she would have "made history" as the first black female president.

After Biden's withdrawal from the race- but before Harris was nominated- the vice-president skipped the speech to Congress of Israeli prime minster Benjamin Netanyahu to address the national convention of Zeta Phi Beta Sorority, Inc., a member of the "Divine Nine." Harris herself is a member of Alpha Kappa Alpha Sorority, also an historically black (and apparently currently segregated) sorority. However, this event took place after President Biden had announced that he would not seek another term but before Harris was nominated, thus avoiding most backlash while reinforcing her base. It was a shrewd move by a politician emphasizing her roots in the black community while maintaining a distance from the militaristic and failed Prime Minister.

Yet, Hasan is correct that Harris de-emphasized that cultural stuff  There was very little from the campaign about transgenderism, about the candidate's gender or ethnic background, or a general defense of equity or diversity.  Nor did many- if any- of the suddent, convenient critics of wokeism suggest in 2020 that perhaps designating Kamala Harris as the vice presidential nominee, likely to become almost the heir apparent to Joe Biden, on the basis of her race or sex was unwise.

Harris, female and black or bi-racial, was the living embodiment of wokeism the critics attack. However, that was Kamala Harris, who is what she is. It was  not her campaign, which was pro-institutional, emphasized bipartisanship, and eschewed ideological radicalism.

Hasan continued

Look, it's as clear as day. Harris did not run a left-wing campaign. Shje didn't run on Medicare for All. She did not run on student debt relief. She didn't run on a Green New Deal. And she didn't break with Joe Biden on Gaza.

At the debate, the Vice President declared "well, first of all, I absolutely support and over the last four years as vice president private health care options. But what we need to do is maintain and grow the Affordable Care Act." She commented "and the plan has to be to strengthen the Affordable Care Act, not get rid of it." That's not such a bold stance in favor of a program which as of March was approved by over 60% of the public.  If we were hoping that would be coupled with denunciation of a system in which health care- thus health- is up to the discretion of private insurance companies, well, that would have been a little progressive. Can'thave that.

And Democrats, most notably its recent presidential nominee, no longer utter the term "Green New Deal." That is so 2019, and reference to it is even more uncommon than to "justice," hardly mentioned since the heady days of 2019-2020.

Hasan added

So when you sy she ran left, what on earth are you talking about? This is a presidential candidate swho campaigned way more with Liz Cheney and Mark Cuban than with AOC and Shawn Fain, who listened more to her mother-in-law, the chief legal adviser of Uber, than to Bernie Sanders. The truth is, in 2016 and again in 2020, the Democratic establishment wanted to block Bernie Saners, an actual leftist, from becoming their nominee. And in 2024, due to Joe Biden's stubbornness, they didn't even have a contest- just a coronation. So look, the centrists, the moderates, got their candidate in every election in which the Republicans nominated Donald Trump: 2016 Hillary Clinton, 2020 Joe Biden, 2024 Kamala Harris. And they lost to Tump two of three times. And now they're going to blame the left for that? No fucking way."


Harris promised to appoint a Republican to the Cabinet and form a bipartisan council of advisors on policy. This should be the most enduring representation of the campaign (well, along with this and this). Whatever its net effect (to be determined), this may have been less the Harris-Walz campaign than the Harris-Cheney campaign.







Clinton was more moderate than Sanders, Biden more moderate than Sanders (or Warren), and Harris more moderate than- whom? The Party establishment, as Hasan noted, prefers the moderate candidate. However, even more so, it prefers the establishment candidate. Clinton and Biden were establishment- and so was Harris, loyal vice president to the President, even to the extent of defending Biden, his cognitive ability and overall health when most of the country had serious doubts.

There was another factor, one ignored by everyone, but most significantly by vilifiers of the woke, who would strengthen their case if they didn't elide it. In our more liberal/progressive days labeled "America's original sin," it is now avoided like the plague. Nominees Kamala Harris is a black woman; Joe Biden, pushed forward by Representative James Clyburn; Hillary Clinton, spouse of the individual once only half-jokingly referred to as "the first black President."  (The word "black," recognized a s a color,was not capitalized in those largely pre-politically correct days.)

And the presidential race of 2016. Initially, Hillary Clinto was supported for the nomination by more black Democrats than was Barack Obama. Once Obama won the Iowa primary- thus proving that whites woould vote for a black man for President-  the Illinoisan emerged as the favorite candidate of blacks. The rest, as is often said, is history.

That may seem off the point, but isn't. (Classic John Oliver: "The point is....") The soul-searching goes on, with "progressives" and "progressivism" taking incoming fire. Kamala Harris did not run a progressive campaign,  and had she won, her detractors from the right would have rightly denied that she had. If their beef with the left is that she was defeated because of the identification among voter of the Democratic Party as "woke," then they need to step up and be more specific. That they fail to do so, and refuse to acknowledge that the nominee herself was a bad choice, indicates that Mehdi Hasan is not only right about the nature of the presidential campaign but that the critics will offer no alternative..




                                         HAPPY THANKSGIVING

It Is the Guns, Ben

Devout Orthodox Jew (but I repeat myself) and married, conservative podcaster Ben Shapiro used the Washington Post's article " Wha...