CBO projects that the DI trust fund will be exhausted in fiscal year 2018 and that the OASI trust fund will be exhausted in 2042. Once a trust fund's balance has fallen to zero and current revenues are insufficient to cover the benefits that are specified in law, a program will be unable to pay full benefits without changes in law. The DI trust fund came close to exhaustion in 1994, but that outcome was prevented by legislation that redirected revenue from the OASI trust fund to the DI trust fund. In part because of that experience, it is a common analytical convention to consider the DI and OASI trust funds as combined. CBO projects that, if legislation to shift resources from the OASI trust fund to the DI trust fund was enacted, the combined OASDI trust funds would be exhausted in 2039.
Dishonest though it is, there is effective strategy in fabrication while Limbaugh manipulates his radio audience and Perry manipulates the Repub primary electorate. Following Wednesday's debate, which featured a (tame) clash between the Texas governor and the ex-Massachusetts governor, David Atkins observed
Democrats may cheer this little battle between Perry and Romney. But ultimately, it's great for the conservatives who want to kill Social Security, and just the next step in the Overton Window-pushing electoral process that they'll need to get there. And that's true no matter which of the two extremists gets the GOP nod.
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